Quotes 1 till 7 of 7.
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Humans are terrible at predicting the future. We really overestimate what we can do in the short term and underestimate what we can do in the long term... If we can glimpse even a couple of years into the future, even that's difficult to do.
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I think almost all strategic problems could at least be improved upon if people would do more careful game-theoretic analysis. The reason game theory works in predicting is because people intuit how to behave game-theoretically.
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I'm not engaged in predicting random number generators. I actually get phone calls from people who want to know what lottery numbers are going to win. I don't have a clue.
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It is impossible to trap modern physics into predicting anything with perfect determinism because it deals with probabilities from the outset.
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Predicting rain doesn't count. Building arks does.
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Science is a little bit more than a wonderful way of modelling and predicting; it's a wonderful technical abstraction. I think science is a really wonderful technical abstraction.
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That's kind of like how jazz is sometimes. You're out there predicting the future, and no one believes you.
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